New Delhi, India – November 30, 2023 – Exit polls conducted after the Madhya Pradesh assembly elections have predicted a close race between the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and the opposition Indian National Congress (INC). However, most polls suggest that the BJP has a slight edge, putting it in a strong position to retain power in the state.
Key Findings of Exit Polls
- Republic TV-Matrize: The Republic TV-Matrize exit poll predicts that the BJP will win between 118 and 130 seats, while the INC will secure between 97 and 107 seats.
- India Today-Axis My India: The India Today-Axis My India exit poll predicts that the BJP could win 106 seats, while the INC could win 111 seats.
- TV9 Bharatvarsh: The TV9 Bharatvarsh exit poll predicts that the BJP could win between 105 and 115 seats, while the INC could win between 100 and 110 seats.
A Tight Race with BJP Holding a Slight Edge
While the exit polls suggest a close race, they consistently indicate that the BJP has a slight edge over the INC. The BJP’s projected seat tally ranges from 105 to 130, while the INC’s projected seat tally ranges from 97 to 111.
Factors Contributing to BJP’s Advantage
Several factors could be contributing to the BJP’s projected advantage in the exit polls. The party has been in power in Madhya Pradesh for the past 25 years, and this incumbency advantage could be playing a role in its favor. Additionally, the BJP’s focus on development and its promise to continue its work in the state could be resonating with voters.
INC’s Campaign Focusing on Anti-Incumbency
The INC has been campaigning on the issue of anti-incumbency, highlighting the BJP’s long rule in the state and alleging misgovernance. However, the exit polls suggest that this message may not have been enough to overcome the BJP’s incumbency advantage.
A Crucial Test for Both Parties
The Madhya Pradesh assembly elections are a crucial test for both the BJP and the INC. The BJP is aiming to extend its record-breaking reign in the state, while the INC is seeking to make a comeback after being in opposition for 15 years.
Counting of Votes to Begin on December 8
The counting of votes will begin on December 8, and the final results are expected to be declared on the same day. The results will be closely watched as they could have a significant impact on the national political landscape.
